Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 195.063493 225.372576 259.804733 302.016117 352.639006 411.732542 486.424006
2025-09-28 153.376319 191.676582 239.504436 304.378600 391.256087 505.281159 669.117393
2025-10-05 135.821653 179.445149 237.752168 322.978924 447.108739 625.737287 910.671895
2025-10-12 123.308086 170.292264 236.624770 339.734380 500.913895 752.065476 1191.799881
2025-10-19 108.932047 155.733945 224.721030 337.378736 523.959840 834.666188 1423.947473
2025-10-26 100.289686 148.015502 221.234294 346.484021 565.715467 955.251124 1755.553986
2025-11-02 92.034133 139.614579 215.191732 349.873725 597.575923 1064.495423 2098.145861
2025-11-09 85.407304 132.858502 210.680326 354.750859 632.409824 1186.401548 2506.268496
2025-11-16 79.031124 125.701042 204.449684 355.319716 658.743549 1296.848152 2926.540059
2025-11-23 73.214790 118.807647 197.749608 353.816410 680.349429 1401.931556 3372.188794
2025-11-30 69.245085 114.652882 195.350864 360.085799 719.114583 1554.785977 4005.744739
2025-12-07 63.137508 106.097446 183.926381 346.636500 712.296693 1597.726427 4342.912012
2025-12-14 58.775615 100.691842 178.566808 346.584260 739.963332 1744.902500 5109.085559
2025-12-21 55.107959 96.252052 174.656718 349.326624 775.904010 1928.444903 6117.472443
2025-12-28 53.803592 96.106634 179.142275 371.256823 864.712392 2292.058625 8042.577801
2026-01-04 52.326287 95.438148 182.436863 391.047273 953.443935 2692.483563 10466.258198
2026-01-11 49.004327 90.742362 176.686190 388.263014 979.606136 2903.055820 12226.872815
2026-01-18 47.098459 88.726651 176.442791 399.028443 1047.836607 3288.469138 15274.536858
2026-01-25 44.842555 85.756388 173.729061 403.038521 1097.083498 3628.340208 18479.092675
2026-02-01 42.901879 83.264366 171.799063 408.810451 1153.809528 4026.514828 22596.578708
2026-02-08 40.788007 80.202582 168.203959 409.483842 1194.311693 4379.611973 26947.654121
2026-02-15 38.700660 77.015021 163.966436 407.704361 1226.331600 4714.320996 31738.144316
2026-02-22 37.311187 75.257280 162.973709 415.127118 1293.766249 5255.930914 39433.205095